Evidence item · v0.74
Simulation argument (Bostrom) — trilemma & priors
E-SIM-ARG
Visual overview: Simulation Argument Dossier With Christian Framework visual overview
Classification
- Evidence ID
- E-SIM-ARG
- Corpus/version
- v0.74
- Stage
- stage3
- Category
- Simulationism
- Major category
- Worldviews
- Sub-category
- Simulation / Information
- BF status
- ready
- Scoring label
- Scored row with active Bayes factors
Navigation
Primary Datum
Datum: Bostrom simulation argument frames a trilemma about advanced civilizations and simulated worlds.
Scoring / Hypothesis Pressure
| Hypothesis | log10BF | Min | Max | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|
H-GOD | 0 | -0.05 | 0.05 | Theistic creation is compatible with or without layered simulations; the argument is largely orthogonal. |
H-IDEALISM | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.2 | A live, structured case for simulated/mental reality is expected on a mind/simulation-first ontology. |
H-NATURALISM | -0.03 | -0.08 | 0.02 | Naturalism can host the trilemma, but absent extra typicality commitments it does not preferentially predict simulated over base observers. |
H-PLATONIC-MATHEMATICAL-STRUCTURALISM | 0.03 | -0.02 | 0.08 | Digital/structural framing weakly aligns with mathematics-first ontologies; effect is slight. |
Dependency / Cap Metadata
- dependency_cluster_id
- cosmological_contingency
- dependency_cluster_role
- sibling_support
- dependency_cluster
- cosmological_contingency
- dependency_role
- sibling_support
- cap_profile
- moderate_semi_independent
- evidence_function
- context_child
- directness
- supporting
Counter-Pressure
- title
- Selection and deeper-law replies limit overclaim, but do not close the case.
- text
- Simulation argument (Bostrom) — trilemma & priors may reduce the force of a simple fine-tuning argument. That is fair. But it still leaves questions about law, measure, existence, intelligibility, and why anything life-permitting exists to be selected.
- path
- Say yes to the caution, then ask what the caution presupposes. If the answer is a multiverse, ask why that generator exists and why it is lawlike. If the answer is necessity, ask why necessity is life-friendly and rationally beautiful.
Apologetic Note
- label
- Apologetic leverage
- title
- The universe looks surprisingly fit for life and reason.
- key point
- Simulation argument (Bostrom) — trilemma & priors helps the Christian case because the world is not merely big; it is ordered, mathematical, stable, and life-permitting. The clue is not that science stops, but that science keeps finding a room where life and reason can exist.
- conversation move
- Use the room analogy: physics explains what happens inside the room; apologetics asks why there is a room with laws, dials, and minds able to measure them.
- caveat
- Do not oversell one science row. Multiverse, selection effects, and deeper-law replies matter. The Christian point is cumulative: order, life, reason, and meaning fit together.
Caveats / Notes
- Cap notes
- This row belongs to the metaphysical explanation family. It supports root-stage explanatory pressure and should be assessed with related metaphysics rows.
- Cap profile note
- Semi-independent convergence rows are capped, but not treated as exact duplicates.
Citations
- Bostrom, N. (2003). Are You Living in a Computer Simulation?
Recommended Citation
The Signal Evidence Dataset, "Simulation argument (Bostrom) — trilemma & priors," Evidence ID: E-SIM-ARG, Version 0.74. Accessed [access date]. https://logos-signal.org/evidence/E-SIM-ARG/
Machine-Readable Source
This page is generated from the public evidence mirror without recalculating or changing scores.